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Applied predictive analytics

How historical data feeds projections and business decisions.

Predictive analytics uses historical data to estimate the future — churn, demand, default, LTV. It is not a crystal ball: it is probability with clean data and a reviewed model.

Basic pipeline

  • Collection — consistent data without selection bias.
  • Preparation — cleaning, features, train/test split.
  • Model — regression, trees, or ML depending on complexity.
  • Validation — clear metric (MAE, AUC, etc.).
  • Deploy — integration into product or operational dashboard.
  • Monitoring — data drift and model degradation.

When it is worth it

Sufficient data volume and a repeatable decision with measurable error cost. For small samples, start with simple rules and linear regression.

Por trás do sistema

Dados de mercado alimentam simuladores e produtos de decisão que construo para clientes.

Versão em português (original): /analise-preditiva